When the base price of 50 dollars a barrel, industrial production in Russia in 2009 will decline by 2.4 per cent, while investment in fixed assets will decrease by five percent. The information contained in a recent projections of socio-economic development for 2009-2011, which prepared the Ministry of Economic Development. It says the newspaper Vedomosti, which was able to read this document. Last fall promproizvodstva in the country on the basis of the year was recorded in 1998.
Earlier, Russian media have cited some figures contained in the ministry. According to their figures, the department had prepared three options for the development of Russia: optimistic, pessimistic and base. When the last oil will cost 30 dollars per barrel, while optimistic - 60 dollars per barrel.
In addition, the ministry expects that in the baseline forecasts the dollar in Russia will cost an average of 32 rubles, while the increase in GDP was three and a half per cent.
The Government had to revise the basic macroeconomic parameters of the economic crisis. Even in the three-year budget for 2009-2011 states that the oil in 2009 would cost $ 95 a barrel and the dollar - 24.7 rubles.
According to official figures, following 10 months of 2008 promproizvodstva growth in Russia amounted to 4.9 per cent. However, in October the same rate of 0.6 percent the same time a year earlier.
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